Application of game theory for duopoly market analysis

Abstract

The paper provides the analysis of game theory models application to identify duopoly market equilibrium (quantities sold and market prices), to evaluate and compare the results of enterprises in a market. The purpose of the analysis is to determine to what extent theoretical models correspond to real life, that is how reliable they are in supporting and estimating decisions of duopoly companies, fortifying market prices and quantities sold, evaluating company's competing positions and possibilities for decision co‐ordination. To describe discrete strategies equilibrium the “Prisoner's Dilemma” model is applied to a hypothetic market entrance game with possible side payments. Further analysis of the market entrance game incorporates mixed strategies based “Matching Pennies” model in case discrete strategies equilibrium does not exist. Continuous strategies are described analyzing hypothetic duopoly by applying Cournot, Stackelberg and Bertrand models. The first and the second mover advantage issues are raised comparing outcomes of dynamic Stackelberg and Bertrand games for a leader and a follower. Stability and utility of cartel agreement for its participants is mathematically supported with the help of a multi‐step repeated Cournot game. Having described, compared and applied the main game theory models to artificial duopoly market situations, the author passes over to the comparative analysis of the models’ weaknesses and problems related to their practical application.

First published online: 14 Oct 2010

Keyword : oligopoly, duopoly, game theory, discrete strategies, mixed strategies, Cournot, Bertrand